Bitcoin ‘big move’ due in July after March $30K push — Latest analysis

Bitcoin “consolidation” might finish by July, new analysis predicts as optimism over a BTC value breakout returns.

In its newest market replace on June 2, buying and selling agency QCP Capital revealed a bullish bias on each Bitcoin  (BTC) and the most important altcoin, Ether (ETH).

QCP Capital: Bitcoin consolidation “performed out completely”

Bitcoin value has been ranging between $26,000 and $31,000 since mid-March, however analysts are more and more calling time on the sideways motion.

QCP Capital is amongst them, predicting a change after all as quickly as the top of the month.

This, it argues, is because of the United States debt ceiling “sideshow” vanishing, leaving Bitcoin closely mimicking its consolidation and breakout phase from 2020.

“With the passage of the Debt ceiling bill through the House and Senate that extends the ceiling until Jan 2025, we can now all move on and not have to worry about any political sideshow again until next year’s US Presidential elections,” it wrote.

“This means we now return to our regular programming of proper macro and crypto narratives.”

For QCP, the price levels may be different, but the underlying behavior is the same in 2023 as at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Back then, the Federal Reserve unleashed a giant $4 trillion worth of liquidity, buoying risk assets and ultimately sending Bitcoin to new all-time highs.

“In March 2020 we were on the verge of a massive price breakdown below 5k when the Fed unleashed the liquidity tap, resulting in an exponential price increase as we approached the halving cycle the following year,” it wrote, quoting a previous edition of its “Simply Crypto” publication sequence.

“Equally in March 2023, we had been about to interrupt under 20k on BTC because of the banking disaster risk-off, when the Fed once more unleashed the liquidity faucet to drive us again above 30k, as we head into the subsequent halving cycle subsequent yr.”

Ought to the connection proceed to play out, the subsequent part is apparent: a dramatic exit of the buying and selling vary, with QCP positioning lengthy choices performs.

“This consolidation has performed out completely to date, however we anticipate that we’re quickly coming near the top someday this month. Because of this, we suggest positioning for an upcoming huge transfer by lengthy 3m and 6m strangles right here, with a bias to the lengthy name facet,” it added.

An accompanying chart confirmed the month of June as a hotspot for each BTC and ETH volatility from 2019 onward.

3-month “at-the-money” volatility chart for BTC, ETH (screenshot). Supply: QCP Capital

Betting on a BTC value breakout

As Cointelegraph reported, other signals coming from Bitcoin point to a new paradigm taking over shortly.

Related: Bitcoin wicks down to $26.5K, but trader eyes chance for ‘bullish surprise’

These embrace an on-chain metric monitoring hodler habits, which in late Might put BTC/USD in a “transition” part away from “capitulation” and on the way in which to “euphoria.”

A number of market members, in the meantime, argue that BTC value motion is at a important stage, with a decision on its trajectory now due.

BTC/USD traded at close to $27,000 on June 2, knowledge from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed, having ended May down 7%.

BTC/USD 1-day candle chart on Bitstamp. Source: TradingView

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This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.